Psychology of intelligence analysis.
- نوع فایل : کتاب
- زبان : انگلیسی
- مؤلف : Richards Heuer
- ناشر : [S.l.] : Bernan Associates
- چاپ و سال / کشور: 1999
- شابک / ISBN : 9780160590351
Description
l Author's Preface l Foreword by Douglas MacEachin l Introduction by Jack Davis l PART I--OUR MENTAL MACHINERY l Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking l Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can't We See What Is There to Be Seen? l Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know? l PART II--TOOLS FOR THINKING l Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information l Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information? l Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind l Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems l Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses l PART III--COGNITIVE BIASES l Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases? l Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence l Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect l Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities l Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting l PART IV--CONCLUSIONS l Chapter 14: Improving Intelligence Analysis Publications Page
