The failure of risk management : why it's broken and how to fix it
- نوع فایل : کتاب
- زبان : انگلیسی
- مؤلف : Douglas W Hubbard
- ناشر : Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley
- چاپ و سال / کشور: 2009
- شابک / ISBN : 9780470387955
Description
Pt. 1. An introduction to the crisis -- Healthy skepticism for risk management -- Risk management : a very short introduction to where we've been and where (we think) we are -- How do we know what works? -- Pt. 2. Why it's broken -- The "four horsemen" of risk management : some (mostly) sincere attempts to prevent an apocalypse -- An ivory tower of Babel : fixing the confusion about risk -- The limits of expert knowledge : why we don't know what we think we know about uncertainty -- Worse than useless : the most popular risk assessment method and why it doesn't work -- Black swans, red herrings, and invisible dragons : overcoming conceptual obstacles to improved risk management -- Where even the quants go wrong : common and fundamental errors in quantitative models -- Pt. 3. How to fix it -- The language of uncertain systems : the first step toward improved risk management -- The outward-looking modeler : adding empirical science to risk -- The risk community : intra- and extraorganizational issues of risk management.
*Calibrated Risk is a book about a serious problem in the business of risk analysis and how to fix it.