Uncertainty in industrial practice : a guide to quantitative uncertainty management
- نوع فایل : کتاب
- زبان : انگلیسی
- مؤلف : Etienne de Rocquigny; Nicolas Devictor; Stefano Tarantola
- ناشر : Chichester, England ; Hoboken, NJ : J. Wiley
- چاپ و سال / کشور: 2008
- شابک / ISBN : 9780470994474
Description
Preface. Contributors and Acknowledgements. Introduction. Notation - Acronyms and abbreviations. Part I: Common Methodological Framework. 1. Introducing the common methodological framework. 2. Positing of the case studies. Part II: Case Studies. 3. CO2 emissions: estimating uncertainties in practice for power plants. 4. Hydrocarbon exploration: decision-support through uncertainty treatment. 5. Determination of the risk due to personal electronic devices (PEDs) carried out on radio-navigation systems aboard aircraft. 6. Safety assessment of a radioactive high-level waste repository - comparison of dose and peak dose. 7. A cash flow statistical model for airframe accessory maintenance contracts. 8. Uncertainty and reliability study of a creep law to assess the fuel cladding behaviour of PWR spent fuel assemblies during interim dry storage. 9. Radiological protection and maintenance. 10. Partial safety factors to deal with uncertainties in slope stability of river dykes. 11. Probabilistic assessment of fatigue life. 12. Reliability modelling in early design stages using the Dempster-Shafer theory of Evidence. Part III: Methodological Review and Recommendations. 13. What does uncertainty management mean in an industrial context? 14. Uncertainty settings and natures uncertainty. 15. Overall approach. 16. Uncertainty modelling methods. 17. Uncertainty propagation methods. 18. Sensitivity analysis methods. 19. Presentation in a deterministic format. 20. Recommendations the overall process in practice. Conclusion. Appendices. Appendix A. A selection of codes and standards. Appendix B. A selection of tools and websites. Appendix C. Towards non-probabilistic settings: promises and industrial challenges. Index.
There is a growing demand from institutional bodies for the justification of industrial methodologies and practices (e.g. safety criteria, environmental protection and control, maintenance and design optimization). Previous books in this area have either been too theoretical, or too specific in their scope.
