Modeling risk management in sustainable construction

Contents Part I Enterprise Risk Management in Supply Chains An Improved Approach for Supplier Selection in Project Material Bidding Procurement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Maozeng Xu, Qiaoyu Chen, and Ligang Cui Modeling the Out-of-Stock Risk and the EOQ–JIT Cost Indifference Point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Min Wu A Partner Selection Method Based on Risk Evaluation Using Fuzzy Soft Set Theory in Supply Chain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Zhi Xiao and Weijie Chen A Quantitative Analysis for Degree of Supplier Involvement Under Market Uncertainty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Zi-jian Zhang and Hua Pan Part II Enterprise Risk Management in Construction Dynamic Network Planning Simulation for Scheduling Risk Analysis Base on Hybrid System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 Lin Yang, Yanlong Zhao, and Yueyue Chen Research on the Integrated Risk Management Information System of Construction Project . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Yun-li Gao Sensitivity Analysis for the Relationship Between Toll Rate and Traffic Volume for Freeway . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 Lian-yu Wei, Yi Cao, and Pei Chen vii The Application of Dynamic Priority of AHP on Operation Risk Assessment of Metro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 Yunhao Gao, Xiuli Du, and Mingju Zhang Study on Construction Project Bidding Risk Assessment Model . . . . . . . . . 73 Guofeng Wen and Liwen Chen Study on Prophase Risk Management in Informatization of Chinese Construction Enterprises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 Luo Fu-zhou and Wang La-Yin Managing Construction Risk in SMEs: The Case of Coastal Construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 Hosein Piranfar A Study on Management Risk Evaluation System of Large-Scale Complex Construction Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 Linlin Xie and Yu Yang Risk-Based Determination of the Prenium Rate of Construction Work Safety Liability Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 Hongxia Wang, Gui Ye, and Chuanjing Ju Part III Enterprise Risk Management in Projects Multi-criteria Decision Model for BOT Project Selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 Min-Ren Yan Equitable Risk Allocation in Chinese Public–Private Partnership Power Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 Yongjian Ke, ShouQing Wang, and Albert P.C. Chan Developing a Construction Safety Management System . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Jian Zhang and Weng Tat Chan Analysis of the Equipment’s Maintenance Period Under Different Operation Stages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145 Jie Chi and Miao Chi An Evolutionary Game Model for the Risk Management Cooperation Among the Project Participants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 Guo-jun Zhang and Yun-li Gao viii Contents Application of Industrialized Housing System in China: A Chongqing Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 Yuhong Pan, Francis K.W. Wong, and Eddie C.M. Hui Part IV Energy Risk Management The Study on Energy Consumption and Pollutant Emission of Civil Vehicles in Beijing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 Li-xiang Zhao, Yi-long Xiong, and Fei Ye An Investigation of the Coal Demand in China Based on Variable Weight Combination Forecasting Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 Guohao Zhao, Shufen Guo, Jing Shentu, and Yongguang Wang Investment Cost Analysis for Key Industries of New Energy Based on Boston Experience Curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191 Yuanying Chi, Benkun Chi, Xiangyang Li, and Dongxiao Niu Part V Environmental Risk Management Green Adaptive Reuse: Issues and Strategies for the Built Environment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199 Craig Langston Risk Assessment of Regional Industrial Clusters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211 Yongheng Fang and Zhouping Jia Subway System Safety Risk Analysis Based on Bayesian Network . . . . . . 219 Ying Lu, Qiming Li, and Jimmie Hinze Eco-Efficiency Assessment for the Eco-Industrial Park Based on the Emergy Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 Hua Shang and Jiabo Li The Study of Green Risk Assessment for Construction Project Based on “AHP–FCE” Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 237 Danfeng Xie, Shurong Guo, and Sulei Li Intensive Land Use Evaluation of Urban Development Zones: A Case Study of Xi’an National Hi-Tech Industrial Development Zone in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 Wei Xiao and Qingqi Wei Contents ix Industrial Planning, Macro-economic Control and Government’s Role in the Perspective of Economic Crisis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 251 Bo Cao and Yang Yu Evaluation and Simulation for Ecology Risk of Urban Expansion Based on SERA Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259 Xiaoxia Shi, Yue Wu, and Han Zhang Part VI Financial Risk The Gerber–Shiu Discounted Penalty Function for the Credit Risk Model with Dependent Rates of Interest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 269 Dan Peng and Zaiming Liu A Risk-Sensitivity Analysis on NPV Model of Investment Projects . . . . . . 277 Xiansheng Qin, Xuyao Ma, and Hongwei Bai Research on Appraisal of High-Tech Entrepreneurial Risk Based on Osculating Value Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 Yan-Rong Wang and Qiao-Ling Xu An Approach to Overseas Iron Ore Investment Risk Assessment Based on Fuzzy Neural Network . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293 Li Guo, Caiwu Lu, and Zhen Yang Analysis on Structure Risk and Its Countermeasures of International Trade Corridor in Inland China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 Xiao-dong Xie, Mao-zeng Xu, Shun-yong Li, and Li Huang Part VII Sustainable Risk Management Tools Asphalt Pavement Surface Penetrate Rejuvenate Restore Technology: Application and Evaluation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 313 Xiaohong Guo and Bangyin Liu A Study of Construction Project Conflict Management Based on Evolutionary Game Theory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321 Jie Ding Study on the Management Mechanism of Emergency Telecommunication in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327 Zhenyu Jin, Xiaoyu Wan, and Xingming Yang x Contents Forewarning for Urban Sustainable Development Based on Fuzzy Matter Element Model: Taking Nan Tong City for Example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 335 Wen-jin Zhang and De-shan Tang Resident Population Prediction Based on Cohort-Component Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 343 Biyu Lv, Jiantong Zhang, and Hong He Dynamic Monitoring of Land Utilization Security of Mining City . . . . . . 351 Jin-sheng Zhou Risk Assessment of Water Transportation in Three Gorges Reservoir Through Approaches of System Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 363 Dan Zhang, Liwen Huang, and Xiaobiao Fan Damaged Bridges over Watercourses and Stream Order Flood Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371 Marek Mihola Part VIII Enterprise Risk Management Modeling Understanding Commuters’ Daily Travel Time: Application of a Hazard-Based Duration Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 379 Zhicai Juan, Jianchuan Xianyu, and Linjie Gao Influence of Perceived Risk and Service Recovery on On-Line Shopping: A Dynamic Game of Incomplete Information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 387 Yong Fang and Fengming Tao Traffic Risk Assessment of Freeway On-Ramp and Off-Ramp Areas Based on Simulation Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 395 Ying Yan, Yan-ting Sheng, and Yu-hui Zhang Probe into the Effectiveness Connotation of Emergency Telecommunication Plan and Its Assessment Method Under Unconventional Emergency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 407 Xiaoyu Wan, Zhenyu Jin, and Jinying Wei Risk Assessment of Levee Engineering Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Analytic Network Process and Its Application . . . . . . 415 Feng Li, Zong-Kun Li, and Chuan-Bin Yang